Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid tip, prognosis & odds 04.04.2021 - La Liga Free fixed tips
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Sevilla - Atletico Madrid tip, prognosis and odds - La Liga
Unpleasant top game for the championship favorites: League leaders Atletico Madrid threatens to stumble again on matchday 29 in La Liga, because the Rojiblancos have a very difficult guest appearance in front of their chests.
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The front runner has to play the top game for fourth place Sevilla CF on Sunday evening - there is hardly a more difficult guest appearance in Spain.
It is therefore not surprising that in Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid the odds of the best bookmakers are completely balanced in both directions in this game.
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If you want to find out more about the cracker game on matchday 29 in Spain, you can do so in the Talk & Tips podcast. In episode 26 of our betting podcast, our experts in the international football segment talk, among other things, about Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid, including tips, prognoses and lots of shop talk. So it's worth listening to.
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Direct comparison / H2H
Sevilla have been waiting for a win against Atletico for eight league duels. During this time there were four draws and four bankruptcies. On matchday 1 - which was not made up until mid-January - Atletico won 2-0 at their home town of Wanda Metropolitano.
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The Andalusians achieved their last league success in the 2016/17 season when they won 1-0 at home. Despite this dry spell, the overall balance is pretty even: this game has already taken place 165 times in Spanish football, Atletico Madrid celebrated 63 wins, 49 times Sevilla triumphed, 53 games ended in a draw.
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A win is gradually becoming time again from the perspective of the home side - those who bet on this will receive betting odds averaging 2.90 at Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid.
Seville - statistics & current form
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To give your tip for a home win at Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid is anything but absurd. Because: The Sevillanos are together with FC Barcelona the second best home team La Ligas. Ten of the 14 home games were won (10S / 1U / 3N), and Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan at home conceded just nine goals.
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In general, the defensive strength of the Andalusians is remarkable. Behind the traditionally strong Atletico Madrid (18 goals conceded) are the second best defense in Spain (21 goals conceded). Impressive: 13 of the 17 La Liga victories were zero.
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Given these numbers, it can be more than worthwhile to consider a prediction of a zero victory for the home side at Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid. Because here the quotas have it all. For example, Bwin offers a 4.10 on this bet. The € 100 cashback bonus from Bwin naturally makes things less risky.
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On the betting base, you will find all sports betting bonus offers always up-to-date on our overview page.
Seville is stabilizing after the interim low
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It is obvious that there is a lot to suggest that there will be fewer goals overall in this game - after all, the two best defensive rows play against each other. After a short intermediate low in Seville with bankruptcies against Barcelona (0: 2 in the league, 0: 3 n.V. in the cup) and the narrow elimination against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League (2: 3, 2: 2), they have recently recovered.
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In the league there was first a 1-0 win in the prestigious derby against Betis, then a dutiful 2-0 win against Elche. Julen Lopetegui's team experienced an emotional climax before the international break. In the 1-1 draw against Real Valladolid, points were lost, but the much-acclaimed equalization in the 3rd minute of stoppage time was something very special - because none other than goalkeeper Bono saved Sevilla another point with his goal.
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Expected formation of Sevilla:
Bono - Navas, Koundé, Carlos, Acuña - Fernando, Jordan, Rakitic - Suso, En-Nesyri, Ocampos
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Atletico Madrid - statistics & current form
It is obvious that the game in Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan will be a real challenge for Atletico Madrid in the fight for the title. Seville's home record - especially due to the strong defense - is impressive. To make matters worse for the team of coach Diego Simeone is that they have been struggling with problems for weeks.
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In the last eleven competitive games, Atleti only had a meager four wins. In the league, for example, they left important points twice against Levante (1: 1 and 0: 2) as well as against Celta Vigo (2: 2), Getafe (0: 0) and in the derby against Real Madrid (1: 1).
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After the two draws against Real Madrid and Getafe, there was an important and liberating 1-0 win against Deportivo Alaves before the international break, but here, too, Atletico did not cover themselves with fame - and could be happy with the three points with Oh and to have had a row at all.
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Suarez and Oblak as Atletico's guarantors of success
Because goalkeeper Jan Oblak saved the Rojiblancos with a saved penalty shortly before the end of the three important points in the fight for the title, which at least gave them a little rest during the international break. In addition to Oblak, striker Luis Suarez is another guarantee of success for the red-whites. The Uruguayan scored in the last four games - there were always important goals to win points.
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In view of Atletico's current form, another point loss in Sanchez Pizjuan would not surprise us, on the contrary. In the top game first against fourth between Seville and Atletico Madrid, the odds already show that the bookmakers also consider a slip by the leader to be extremely realistic.
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Expected formation of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak - Hermoso, Savic, Gimenez - Trippier, Koke, Saul, Llorente, Carrasco - Felix, Suarez
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Betting base forecast & Spain Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Spain tip
We would not be surprised by Atletico's loss of points, as one can assume a game on equal terms - between two teams that are known for their defensive strongholds.
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Much speaks in advance for a point-sharing. Unsurprisingly, the odds on it are also very low, the average currently being 3.10. One or the other betting provider even only offers a 2.95 on tip X - that alone shows what you can expect from this game.
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This ensures that the prognosis for a point sharing is very close, but is also not exactly lucrative. Therefore, we opt for a riskier, but also much more lucrative tip. Since Sevilla have already lost their two home games against the other two title contenders Real Madrid and Barcelona, our assessment is: Atletico will win and both will score. We consider the odds of 6.25 offered by Bwin to be a very strong value. All information about the aforementioned Bwin bonus can be found here.
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