Lazio Rom vs. Bayern tip, prognosis & odds - Champions League 2021 Free fixed tips
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Lazio Rome - Bayern tip, prognosis & odds - Champions League 2021
After eight Champions League clubs had already submitted their calling cards in the last 16 last week, the reigning title holder is now returning to the European football stage for the first time this calendar year. FC Bayern Munich will face the Italians from Lazio in the round of 16. On paper, of course, it is an absolutely feasible lot for the Flick-Elf, which, however, goes into the first leg on Tuesday evening with weak personnel.
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Nevertheless, the odds between Lazio Rome and Bavaria are relatively clear in favor of the German record champions. If the Biancocelesti should, contrary to expectations, win, the best bookmakers would pay out almost five times the stake. The probability of a Munich success is just under 60%.
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What has to be taken into account for the forecast between Lazio Rome and Bavaria is the fact that the defending champion naturally has significantly more international experience. While the light blue and whites have reached the knockout round in the premier class for the first time since 1999/2000, it is already the 13th round of 16 in a row for the leader of the table in the Bundesliga. Only Real Madrid (24) and Barcelona (17) have a longer streak.
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From the favorite's point of view, caution has to be called for, as coach Inzaghi's team has been gaining momentum recently and has been able to celebrate some good results at national level. In addition, the Italians impressively demonstrated in the preliminary round in their 3-1 home win against Borussia Dortmund that German opponents at the Stadio Olimpico had a rather difficult position in the past.
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Direct comparison / H2H
Lazio Rome and FC Bayern have never faced each other in a competitive game. As a result, the direct comparison does not play a role in this first leg. Nevertheless, it should be stated that "Le Aquile” has never lost a game in their own stadium against a German opponent in the European Cup. Overall, there was only one defeat in six duels with representatives from the Bundesliga (two wins, three draws).
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Lazio Rome - statistics & current form
Lazio was only able to book the ticket for the round of 16 in the Champions League on the last day of the group stage. Despite being outnumbered and leading twice in their home game against Bruges, the Italians trembled into the final stages, but ultimately benefited from the 2-2 draw and ended Group F in second place behind Borussia Dortmund. Interesting: The Biancocelesti remained unbeaten in all six games, but only celebrated two wins and drew four times.
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Nevertheless, the capital city club can be extremely satisfied with the international season so far, after all, for the first time in 21 years, the leap into the knockout phase in the most important European club competition was made. The fact that a tip on the hosts in the first leg of the first leg between Lazio Rome and Bayern is associated with great risk is also made clear by the fact that the Italians have conceded at least one goal in the last 17 (!) Champions League games.
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Lazio in the league recently in good shape
The rising form curve in Serie A gives hope, however. After a weak first half series, the Adler celebrated seven wins in eight games and improved to fifth place in the ranking. The connection to the top four is established, although the offensive in particular lags a little behind its own expectations with only 38 goals. No other team from the upper third of the table in the Italian Beletage met less than Ciro Immobile and Co.
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In connection with the changeable impressions that the Inzaghi-Elf offered in the group stage, as well as the football dominance of the upcoming opponent, we would refrain from predicting a good result for the home side between Lazio and Bavaria.
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The presence of the aforementioned ex-Dortmunder Immobile does not change anything. Although the attacker scored eight times in his last nine starting eleven games in the premier class, the designated successor of his coach will have a difficult position in the striker of the Biancocelesti on Tuesday evening. Anderson, Luiz Felipe, Radu and Keeper Strakosha are not available. Between the posts, Pepe Reina will meet again with his ex-club.
Expected formation of Lazio:
Reina - Patric, Acerbi, Musacchio - Lucas Leiva - Lazzari, S. Milinkovic-Savic, Luis Alberto, Marusic - Correa, Immobile
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Bavaria - statistics & current form
FC Bayern will return to the Champions League oasis on Tuesday. So in the competition in which the German record champions won the title for the first time since 2013 in August 2020. Overall, the Munich team won 16 of the last 17 competitive games in the premier class (a draw) and achieved an outstanding goal difference of 61:13. For comparison: The second most successful team in this period was Paris St. Germain with twelve wins.
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The group stage in the current season was also nothing more than a relaxed gallop for the Flick-Elf. With 16 out of a possible 18 points, the men from Säbener Straße didn’t miss anything in terms of group victory and also extended their impressive offensive series. In fact, Lewandowski and Co. only stayed in one of the last 27 matches in the premier class without their own goal.
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The personnel situation gives Hansi Flick a headache
The bottom line is that many statistics speak in favor of taking a closer look at the odds on the guest before the first leg between Lazio and Bayern. Whether it makes sense to use the betting base odds comparison for a handicap success of the FCB or a zero victory for the defending champion remains to be seen, because with all due respect for the sensational numbers of the past, it should not be neglected that the Club World Champions had some problems recently.
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In the Bundesliga, the Flick-Elf only recorded one point from the last two games and thus almost completely lost the cushion on the runner-up from Leipzig. In addition, there is the great failure force, which hit the title contender extremely personally.
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Douglas Costa, Gnabry, Nübel, Tolisso, Pavard and Müller will not be available on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the top team of the favorites has enough quality and class to set the course for the quarter-finals in the first of two games against the Italians. In addition, the Munich can rely on their world footballer Lewandowski. The Polish attacker has scored 31 times in 33 Champions League games since the start of the 2017/18 season, including twice more than Cristiano Ronaldo.
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Expected formation of Bavaria:
Neuer - Süle, J. Boateng, Hernandez, Davies - Kimmich, Alaba - L. Sané, Goretzka, Coman - Lewandowski
Betting base forecast & Italy Lazio Rom - Bayern Germany tip
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For many experts, Lazio was one of the most feasible lots in the Champions League round of 16. Angry tongues would now claim that it is anchored in Munich's DNA to have luck, but despite the clear favorite role, the defending champion should be warned about the Romans.
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The capital city club won seven of the last eight Serie A matches and also remained completely unbeaten in the group stage (two wins, four draws). With the FCB, however, a completely different caliber is now waiting for the Biancocelesti, who are represented in the round of 16 for the first time in over 20 years and also conceded at least one goal in the past 17 competitive games in the premier class.
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Even if the Flick-Elf has to struggle with a few failures and recently revealed unusual weaknesses in the Bundesliga, the German record champions must be expected to win at the Stadio Olimpico. 16 of the last 17 CL matches have been won; In addition, with Robert Lewandowski, FCB has the best scorer in this competition for over three years.
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As a result, we are trying between Lazio Rome and Bavaria with the betting odds for the tip on the away win. These are offered in the amount of 1.72 at the tested bookmaker Unibet. As a stake we risk seven out of a possible ten units. Further analyzes and recommendations for the round of the last 16 in the premier class can be found in our Champions League tips section.
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