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Hungary vs. Portugal tip, prognosis & odds 15.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

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Hungary vs. Portugal tip, prognosis & odds 15.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

 

On Tuesday, the first matchday of the EM 2021 group stage will be concluded with the two games of death group F. In the group of four there are three teams that are among the absolute tournament favorites and one clear outsider. The games against the outsider Hungary represent an absolute must win, the Magyars for their part can only surprise. The first David versus Goliath duel in EM Group F is Hungary versus Portugal on Tuesday at 6 p.m.

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The Hungarians are definitely not to be envied in this group and a place in the round of 16 like five years ago in France would be a big sensation. A glimmer of hope for the Hungarians is the fact that the Rossi-Elf will be able to play two group games in the local Puskas Arena and the Hungarian government has also granted full capacity. A soccer game in front of over 60,000 spectators - for that reason alone this game will be a highlight.

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In addition to the two group winners, four of the six best group thirds will also be able to secure their place in the round of 16. It is therefore entirely possible that defending champions Portugal, current world champions France and Germany will survive this group.

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In the ranking of third in the group, the goal difference could ultimately be decisive and therefore Portugal will not only play to win, but will also continue to look for a way forward after a lead.

Thus, at the start between Hungary and Portugal, not only is the prognosis for victory, but also a handicap success of the reigning European champion is obvious. After all, the Hungarians are Portugal's favorite team, Portugal have not played more games against any other team and never suffered a defeat (13).

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Hungary - statistics & current form

Five years ago, the wait for Hungarian fans came to an end. After the Magyars were represented at the European Championships in 1964 and 1972, it was 44 years before the Hungarians were able to qualify again. The underdog surprised in the group stage and remained undefeated (one win, two draws). It was not until the round of 16 that they were clearly out against Belgium (0: 4).

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Qualification despite fourth place

The Italian head coach's team owes its "back-to-back” qualification to the new mode. Four of the 24 participants were ultimately only determined via the Nations League playoffs.

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In the regular qualification the Hungarians only reached fourth place behind Croatia, Wales and Slovakia. But in the playoffs the second chance was used. After Bulgaria were defeated 3-1 in the semi-finals with relative ease, the game against Iceland was not for the faint of heart.

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Up until the 88th minute, Hungary were 1-0 down at home against Iceland, but a furious finish ensured that they qualified again. Neo-Leipzig Dominik Szoboszlai advanced to become a folk hero with his last-minute goal. However, the youngster will not participate due to an injury, his failure definitely represents a severe weakening.

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Hopes rest on the Germany legionnaires

Even if the young Leipzig head coach Marco Rossi is not available, all Hungarian hopes rest on Germany legionnaires. Goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi provides reliable support, central defender Willi Orban was the top scorer in the qualification with three goals, and Rolland Sallai (SC Freiburg) and captain Adam Szalai (FSV Mainz 05) are the actors who play the game of the Magyars in take the hand.

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The quality differences to the reigning European champions are glaring and despite a full house at home, a tip in the direction of the home side is not a real option at the start between Hungary and Portugal.

Expected formation of Hungary:

Gulacsi - Orban, Kesckes, Szalai - Fiola, Nagy, Kleinheisler, Schäfer, Bolla - Szalai, Varga

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Portugal - statistics & current form

Portugal has been the reigning European champion for five years. Only neighboring Spain has been able to feel like European champions longer after the Furia Roja won the title in 2008 and 2012. Portugal owes its five years as titleholders to the postponement.

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Portugal, the epitome of constancy

The Portuguese national soccer team has always been one of the favorite or secret favorites at major soccer events since the beginning of the 21st century. However, neither the golden generation nor the team around Cristiano Ronaldo fulfilled this role for a long time.

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Nevertheless, the Portuguese are the epitome of Constance. Portugal was the only team (!) To have reached at least the knockout phase at the last six European championships. A series that neither France, Spain, Germany or anyone else can show. In general, Portugal reached the knockout phase in all seven EM participations. Despite the "death group”, this should succeed again at the EM 2021 Portugal, the betting odds for the group qualification of the Santos-Elf are around 1.30.

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Routine meets a lot of talent

In the Portuguese squad, the ravages of time are gnawing for many players, because not only Cristiano Ronaldo has reached the late autumn of his career at 36 years of age, but also Pepe (38) or Jose Fonte (37), Joao Moutinho (34) and Rui Patricio ( 33) will soon have to deal with the idea of ​​retiring from a career.

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However, Portugal does not only consist of routine and has a very strong team at its disposal, which is also extremely well represented. Players like Joao Felix, Andre Silva, Ruben Neves or Raphel Guerreiro will probably only come to joker bets.

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There will be no lack of self-confidence, after all, Portugal has not suffered a defeat in eleven European Championship games (except for penalties against Spain 2012) and has only lost one game in the last 14 international matches (Nations League against France). Opposite are nine wins and four draws.

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At the dress rehearsal against Israel, Portugal delivered a sovereign performance (4: 0) and impressively demonstrated that the team can not only act in a result-oriented manner, but can also celebrate clear victories. With regard to the possible ranking of the best third in the group, this would be extremely important. Therefore, in Hungary vs. Portugal, the tip on the handicap victory is definitely a good idea. CR7, Bruno Fernandes, Diogo Jota, Andre Silva, Joao Felix - Portugal has countless goalscorers in its own ranks.

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Expected formation of Portugal:

Rui Silva - Mendes, Dias, Pepe, Cancelo - Carvalho, Neves - Diogo Jota, Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva - Cristiano Ronaldo

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Direct comparison / H2H

Should the prognosis for the home side actually be crowned with success at the beginning of the "group of deaths F" between Hungary and Portugal, this would be a first. A total of 13 duels between the two national teams can be found in the database so far, but the Magyars have never been able to celebrate a success against the southern Europeans. Hungary only managed a draw four times, and Portugal won nine times.

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However, Hungary managed one of these four draws at the last European Championship in France in 2016. An offensive spectacle was offered in the group phase and in the end it was 3: 3. A little later there was also a clash in the course of qualifying for the 2018 World Cup, with Portugal celebrating two victories without conceding (3-0 and 1-0).

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Betting base forecast & Hungary Hungary - Portugal Portugal tip

The starting position in this game is clear - the host can only surprise in front of a full house and can therefore play completely free. In terms of quality, the difference is enormous and anything but a - clear - victory for the reigning European champions would be a big surprise. The bookmaker Bwin we tested currently delivers the top odds for Hungary vs. Portugal with odds of 1.50 on the Portuguese.

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Not only the difference in quality is clear, but also the direct comparison. For Portugal it is an absolute must win before the top two games come up. A certain amount of pressure cannot be denied, but given the good form, the only question that arises is the amount of victory.

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The likelihood that Portugal will end the negative series in opening games (five times not won) is very high. Hungary lacks the playful means to surprise. In Hungary vs. Portugal, the tip on the success of the favorite to zero seems very lucrative. A bet that recommends using six units.

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