Emmen vs. Breda: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten - 20.05.2021 – NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs
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Emmen vs. Breda: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten - 20.05.2021 – NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs
Seven teams are fighting for the last starting place for the Eredivisie season 2021/22. In addition to six teams from the second division, which finished third to eighth in the final ranking, the third from bottom of the House of Lords also has to go to the promotion and relegation playoffs, but only enters in the semi-finals and therefore needs "only" two wins to win Secure class retention.
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Exactly this semifinal is on the program on Thursday evening. Between the (still) first division club Emmen and Breda, the odds clearly point to a home win. Possibly even too clear, because the guest from the Dutch province of Noord-Brabant should by no means be underestimated. In addition, it is a "Do or Die" game, which is known to have its own laws.
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The fact that the common prognosis of bookmakers with a German license between Emmen and Breda still turns out to be towards the home side is primarily due to the great second half of the season played by coach Dick Lukkien's team. Above all, the final spurt has to be highlighted with five wins from the last seven league games.
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Nevertheless, it should not be neglected that NAC Breda has already won a playoff match and also has a high-quality offensive that can shake the supposed favorites on Thursday. The bottom line is that the odds on the second division are probably set too high, so that a reasonable value can be seen for the bet on the progress of the yellow-blacks.
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Emmen - statistics & current form
After 22 match days of the current season, FC Emmen was still behind in the last place in the Eredivisie. The team of coach Dick Lukkien, who has been swinging the scepter in the north of the country since 2016, had only six points on the account up to this point, was still waiting for the first win and was already eight points behind the relegation place. On the safe bank, 13 points were missing.
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Actually, nobody expected that the FCE, which has been in the top division since 2018, will still be able to hold the class, but thanks to an outstanding last third of the season, the white-reds have everything in their own hands again. The Lukkien-Elf lost only two of the last twelve league games, instead celebrated seven wins and drew three times. With the help of seventh place in the second half of the table, last year's twelfth climbed to the relegation rank and is now hoping for another season in the Eredivisie.
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Does Emmen fall victim to home and defensive weaknesses?
However, this requires two more victories, which could turn out to be complicated, because despite the impressive run in recent weeks and months, which is also reflected in five three-pointers from the last seven games, Emmen and Breda are allowed to play Predicting the outcome of the game should not be forgotten that only the two fixed relegated conceded more goals than the FC. In 34 completed matches, exactly 68 goals were received, i.e. two on average per encounter.
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Even looking back on the past twelve games in the Eredivisie, only two clean sheets could be managed. Added to this is the anything but good home record, which shows only four wins in 17 home games (four draws, nine bankruptcies). Incidentally, there were even 41 goals conceded at home, more than two on average. In view of these factors, the tip on home success after 90 minutes between Emmen and Breda carries a great risk.
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Expected formation of Emmen:
Verrips - Cavlan, Bakker, Araujo, Bijl - Ben Moussa, Bernadou - Adzic, Pena, Frei - de Leeuw
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Breda - statistics & current form
After two years in Holland's second division, NAC Breda is aiming for promotion to the Eredivisie. Similar to FC Emmen, the yellow-blacks also need two more victories to secure the leap into the top division of the country together with Cambuur Leeuwarden and the Go Ahead Eagles.
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Unlike the upcoming opponent, the fifth-placed player in the past second division season had to play a game. This could be won against FC Volendam, the sixth in the final table, sovereign with 4: 1. For the yellow and black it was the third win from the last four competitive games. The form is right, the self-confidence is intact and the mood within the young team is currently characterized by the necessary looseness and the important seriousness.
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The refreshingly young NAC team seeks their salvation on the offensive
The biggest bargaining chip that the multiple European Cup participant (most recently in 2009/10) has to throw into the ring is undoubtedly the strong offensive. The team of coach Maurice Steijn scored a whopping 75 goals in the past second division season. Even abroad, only three teams scored more goals. Over the entire season, the club, where a German coach Peter Hyballa was on the bench at the beginning of 2020, only failed to score in four guest appearances.
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The attack power is primarily due to the individual quality of the players. Among other things, the only 19-year-old loan from Manchester City, Lewis Fiorini, is one of the most important pacesetters. But Mounir El Allouchi and Sidney van Hooijdonk are also absolute guarantors for the proper season, which should ideally lead to promotion. The Moroccan midfielder is currently the best scorer in Breda's ranks with 13 goals and 15 assists. Striker van Hooijdonk, son of former national player Pierre van Hooijdonk, tops the internal scorer list with 15 goals.
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Expected formation of Breda:
Olij - Hendriks, Adilehou, Malone, Schouten - Fiorini, Haye - El Allouchi - de Rooij, Azarkan, van Hooijdonk
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Direct comparison / H2H
The two clubs have not yet had a particularly large number of points of contact. There are just nine competitive games in the database, six of them in the second division. With four wins versus three draws and two defeats, NAC Breda leads the direct comparison. The last direct duel to date in the 2019/20 cup competition also went 3-2 to the current second division side, who is considered a blatant underdog before the start of the game Emmen against Breda according to the odds.
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Statistics highlights for Netherlands Emmen versus Breda Netherlands
Bet base forecast & Netherlands Emmen - Breda Netherlands tip
The second semi-final in the race for the last vacant spot for the 2020/21 Eredivisie season will be played by FC Emmen and Breda on Thursday evening. The betting odds underline the relatively clear role of the favorite of the host, who is the only first division team in the playoffs to have the best chances of staying in the class.
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On the one hand, this assessment is quite understandable, as the FCE made a sensational final spurt and scored five times as many points in the last twelve match days as in the first 22 completed matches. On the other hand, the cards are completely reshuffled in a knockout game, which if necessary is decided on extra time and on penalties.
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Between Emmen and Breda, the tip on the progress of the guests promises a passable value insofar as the yellow-blacks already won a playoff match at the weekend, have an outstanding offensive and qualitatively, especially in the front area, do not rate much weaker are as the protégés of coach Dick Lukkien.
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In addition, it should not be forgotten that the hosts had one of the most vulnerable defenders in the country's top division and regularly had problems bringing their own performance onto the pitch, especially at home. Therefore, it is definitely worth trying to place a bet on the second division's finals via the 888sport betting app. We play the top odds of 3.50 with four units and hope for a surprise coup for the underdog.
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