Italy - Finland 23.03.2019 Free fixed tips
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Can Italy find its way back to old size after a botched World Cup qualifier?
In Group J qualifying for the European Championship 2020, Italy and Finland will face each other on Saturday, 23rd March 2019. At the Stadio Friuli in Udine, the two teams start in the Euro Qualifiers 2020. After the botched qualification for the 2018 World Cup in Russia, Italy is under pressure and is hoping for a successful kick-off. In 2018, the Azzurri botched the qualification and had to watch for the first time in 60 years at a World Cup. The Finns could qualify so far for no big tournament, whether this will be successful will show. We offer you analysis on the form of both teams and provide you with lucrative bet tips.
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ITALY
41 places ahead of the FIFA ranking
Star batch of Italy
11 wins in 13 duels
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FINLAND
only 5 goals in 8 games
Surprise moment as underdog
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Does the Squadra Azzurra shine back to its former glory?
The Squadra Azzurra disappointed in the World Cup qualifiers for Russia 2018 not only their compatriots. The entire football world was shocked when it was clear that the four-time world champion will follow the 2018 World Cup finals from home. Italy was in the finals for 60 consecutive years, and this series came to an abrupt end in 2018. The star competition of Azure blue under new coach Roberto Mancini is in something of a crisis. In the last 5 games, both in the UEFA Nations League and in friendlies, only 2 of them have won. You could only defeat Poland and the USA.
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The Portugal lost to Portugal in the second leg, the last match was a 0-0 over the time. In the friendly against Ukraine in October of last year stood at the end of a 1-1 draw on the scoreboard. Goalkeeper legend Gianluigi Buffon hung up, given the poor performance of the team his gloves in the national team finally on the nail. Italy's team squad had grown older, perhaps too old criticized many. Whether Roberto Mancini will rely on time-tested players or lead new faces on the field remains to be seen. In the final preparatory match against the USA were some new players in the squad of the 55-year-old Italian success coach. Italy are currently ranked 18th in the FIFA ranking. Saturday's opponents are not unknown to Italy. Overall, the two nations have faced 13 times on the pitch so far. In 11 cases, the Italians were victorious.
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A game the Finns could decide for themselves. The last meeting of the two teams took place on June 6, 2016, when the Italians managed a 2-0 victory on home soil. A repeat of this result would be a desirable start for Italy in the European Championship qualification. Italy are the favorites in this game, but it remains to be seen after the change of coach and likely changes in the formation of the Azzurri, whether Italy can find back to ancient splendor.
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Can Finland surprise the football nation from the south?
Finland's previous yield in terms of qualifying for a major event is low to say the least. So far, the Finnish national football team could not qualify for a World Cup or a European Championship. The Huuhkajat, the Scandinavian Uhus face a difficult task in their first qualifying match. The favorite of the group J, Italy, could be defeated in the so far 13 direct duels once only. In the last 5 games the Finns have won two victories. In October, the Finnish team won at home in Tampere against Greece 2-0. On January 8, 2019, they won in Qatar a friendly against the Scandinavian neighbor Sweden 1-0, but had to take two days later against Estonia a 1: 2 defeat.
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The Finns rank 59th in the FIFA ranking, 41 behind Saturday's opponent. The team of head coach Markku Kanerva consists to a large extent of legionaries, since Finland is not necessarily considered a football nation, not surprising. Noteworthy, among others, veteran Teemu Pukki, who is currently under contract at Norwich City. He had with Schalke O4 and also with FC Celtic some stakes in Europa League and Champions League games. The Finns have scored 6 goals in the last 8 games and conceded 5 goals. Finland will have to perform very well against the Italian nation of football if they want to take points from the encounter. Certainly not an easy task in the first match of the European Championship qualification.
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Bet Tip and Forecast
We do not recommend a win in this first match of the European Championship qualifiers between Italy and Finland but would rather recommend Both teams - No, as the Finns were not particularly dangerous.
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Only 1.63 meters tall, only four goals scored, already 27 years old and completed only 30 A-national games and still miss him all over Italy. The speech is from Lorenzo Insigne of SSC Naples. Actually, he should not play in the "Squadra Azzurra" anymore. Roberto Mancini ordered a rejuvenation cure for the Italian national team. Thus, it is not surprising that in the current squad, which was called up for the European Championship qualifiers, only four players were nominated with 30 or more games under its belt. Only the two defenses Leonardo Bonucci (85 A-internationals) and Giorgio Chiellini (captain - 100 A-internationals) bring real experience.
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That this rejuvenation cure is needed, was every Italian at the latest after missing the 2018 World Cup aware. For the Finns that looks quite different. In total, seven players with more than 30 games experience were nominated. The average age is also significantly higher. It is therefore not surprising that in Italy Finland is a prognosis harder than usual. Taking the good old days as a benchmark, Italy would have always been the clear favorite. The experience, however, is now more on the side of the Scandinavians. Nevertheless, the individual quality is higher, which still justifies a tip on the hosts in Italy - Finland.
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Italy - Statistics & Current Form
If one thinks of Italy, the name Juventus Turin inevitably comes to mind. Roberto Mancini was nominated for six squads by the Italian series champion: Mattia Perin, Leonardo Bonucci, Giorgio Chiellini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Federico Bernardeschi and Moise Kean. After the loss of Insigne it surprises at least a little that Mario Balotelli was not nominated. In his last seven Ligue 1 games, he scored a total of five goals. No other Italian striker currently has a better cut. It will come to the performance of Ciro Immobile for better or worse. However, since this is also in an excellent form, the 2006 World Champion may not be too worried about the duel against Finland.
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The year 2018 was certainly not very successful. Since the inauguration of Roberto Mancini Italy played nine games. Three wins face four draws and two defeats. The goal balance is balanced at 8: 8. However, it must not be forgotten that the opponents with u. a. France, Holland, Poland and Portugal were not patronized. The most striking thing is that the matches of the "Squadra Azzurra" ended again with a typical Italian result: 1: 1, 0: 0 and 1: 0 were the three main finals in the last nine matches. Thus, Italy is back finally saddle again. But in the end goals were actually not enough to be back in the world class.
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A closer look at the last duels shows, however, that Italy really left a lot of high-caliber winners and certainly could have scored more goals, if not have to. In Italy against Finland a tip on under 2.5 goals would be very attractive. The odds, however, is a rather poor 1.70, which makes betting of this kind again rather uninteresting. With all the negative coverage of Italy - be it inexperience, the many only narrow victories, etc. - it remains a fact that the "Squadra Azzurra" is a true home-night. Including friendly matches, Italy is undefeated since 15 home games. Only France was able to wrestle Italy in 2016 in a friendly match 1: 3.
Expected formation of Italy:
Donnarumma - Florence, Bonucci, Chiellini, Biraghi - Verratti, Jorginho, Barella - Lasagna, Immobile, Quagliarella
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Last matches of Italy:
20.11.2018 - Italy vs. Italy USA 1: 0 (International Friendlies)
17.11.2018 - Italy vs. Italy Portugal 0: 0 (Nations League)
14.10.2018 - Poland vs. Italy 0: 1 (Nations League)
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10.10.2018 - Italy vs. Italy Ukraine 1: 1 (International Friendlies)
10.09.2018 - Portugal vs. Italy 1: 0 (Nations League)
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Finland - Statistics & Current Form
The Finns will have to give up one of the most experienced defenders in their ranks in the landmark game against Italy. At just 24, Jere Uronen is one of the key players of coach Markku Kanerva. As a left-back, he not only often wins decisive duels in the backward movement. He also regularly provides one or the other dangerous action in the offensive.
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"The beginning of the game will be very difficult for us. Italy wants to offer something to its audience after the last few years have been somewhat difficult. You will be highly motivated. That's why it's important that we keep the zero right at the beginning and get involved ourselves. "
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Captain Tim Sparv on the match plan against Italy
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Not least due to the good performances of Uronen Finland secured in the Nations League the first place in the league C before Hungary, Greece and Estonia. Thus, it is possible that the Scandinavians could meet at the next edition of the Nations League on the German national team, since both are from now on in the league B represented. Finland won its first four competitive games in series. Thus, the last two defeats against Greece (0: 1) and Hungary (0: 2) also did not hurt, as first place was already secured.
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Finland is clearly on the upswing. Since 02/09/2017, the Kanerva-Eleven has lost only four games, two of them in inconsequential friendlies. Thus, Markku Karnerva is the most successful main coach Finland has ever had. Ten of his 19 games were won under his leadership, which equates to a success rate of over 50%. The reason for the success is certainly the greatly improved defense. During the Nations League, Finland had to concede only three goals in the six group matches. A total of four times zero. Italy could be hard on Finland to score the first goal. On the contrary, the Finns scored the first goal in six of their last nine matches.
Expected establishment of Finland:
Hradecky - Granlund, Toivio, Arajuuri, Pirinen - Lod, Sparv, Kauko, Soiri - Lappalainen, Pukki
Last matches of Finland:
11.01.2019 - Finland vs. Estonia 1: 2 (Non-FIFA Friendlies)
08.01.2019 - Sweden vs. Finland 0: 1 (Non-FIFA Friendlies)
18.11.2018 - Hungary vs. Germany Finland 2: 0 (Nations League)
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15.11.2018 - Greece vs. Finland 1: 0 (Nations League)
15.10.2018 - Finland vs. Germany Greece 2: 0 (Nations League)
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Italy vs. Italy Finland Finland Direct Comparison
There have been 13 direct duels between Italy and Finland so far. The balance sheet clearly supports our tip. A total of eleven times the "Squadra Azzurra" left the course as the winner. On the other hand, there is a draw and a draw. The last game was played in 2016 as part of a friendly match. Italy won 2-0 at home. The last games before that, however, are so long back (2004 and earlier) that they should not be included in the forecast in the match between Italy and Finland.
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Italy Italy v Finland Finland Tip & Prediction - 23.03.2019
Although the defensive section of the Finns is so stable, we look at Finland against a tip on the "Squadra Azzurra" even in handicap -1.5 as promising. Because as good as the defense is, so weak act the Scandinavians on the offensive. In the six competitive matches of the Nations League, Finland scored just five goals. This represents a negative record among the first-place finishers of all groups. In addition, even Italy has an excellent defense. It is therefore easy to imagine that in Italy against Finland, the forecast could lead to a precise 2: 0.
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Key Facts - Italy vs. Finland tip
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Finland scored with only five goals in first place of its Nations League group.
Finland played four times in the last six competitive matches.
Italy's makeover is clearly showing fruit. In the Nations League only one game against the European champions Portugal was lost.
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In any case, we have little doubt that the quotas offered between Italy and Finland do not correspond to the starting position. The "Squadra Azzurra" is especially in front of home crowd as even clearer favorite in the game of the European Championship qualifying Group J, as implied by the odds. The guests have taken a huge step forward under new coach Markku Kanerva, but they can not compete with the higher individual quality of the 2006 World Champion. That's why we voted against Italy. Finland decided for the tip that the hosts will win the game with at least two goals difference. The betting odds are a lot more lucrative than the easy one with a 2.05
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ITALY
Italy's impressive national team has not been internationally brilliant for a long time and has consistently failed tournament after tournament. Roberto Mancini, whose career also needs to be restarted, is invited to remedy this situation because the Italian coach has failed in the last moments of his work (Zenit, Inter, Galatasaray). With the results of the stations, Mancini is not the best way yet, and it looks like it will be very difficult in the qualifying round for Euro 2020 Italy. The team has performance issues due to the lack of high-profile attackers.
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Now Chiro Immobile is the main striker of the Italian national team, and the alternative is the young M. Kin and Lasanya from Udinese, who lack stars in the sky. The attacking players include Insinyu, El-Shaarawy, Chiesa, Bernardeschi and Politano, but they are not pure strikers. The defensive line of the Italians looks perfect where Bonucci, Chiellini, Romagnoli, Florence and others act skillfully. Mancini has a good human potential, from which you can build a really strong team.
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Finland
For a long time, we have not seen good results at the international level for the Finns, and here the problem lies in the general weakening of the football championship in that country. In the last five games, the Finnish national team lost three times against their rivals. However, Markku Kanervy's stations have managed to win their group in the League of Nations, which means an increase in class, indicating some of the team's potential for play. Finland relies on reliable protection and power football. This style is similar to the playing characteristics of the Icelandic national team.
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Markku Kanerva has a very limited staffing resource, and the team is denied players with a star status. The most valuable player of this team is his goalkeeper Lukas Gradecki. Remarkable are also Finnish national players such as Lod, F. Jensen, Pukki and Hamalleinen.
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COFFICIENTS OF BOOKMAK OFFICES FOR GAME ITALY - FINLAND
A clear favorite of this game, the bookmakers call the Italian team and rate the victory of the Mancini stations for 1.33. On the victory of the guest team give bookmakers a factor of 12.50 and a draw from the game 5.25. We consider this balance of power as optimal. Betting on the performance of the game received from the bookmakers the following numbers: "total over 2.5" for 2.12, "total below 2.5" for 1.81.
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FREE PRICES AND PRICES FOR GAME ITALY - FINLAND OF ANALYSTS OF THE WEBSITE
Roberto Mancini's winners will have to be the winners of their Euro 2020 campaign, as the Italians will reaffirm judgments about their weakness in the event of a point loss. In our view, the home team must win in the confrontation in the long term with a significant advantage. Our forecast is the victory of the districts of Mancini taking into account the minus handicap.
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Bet: Italy's handicap win (-1.5) - 1.99.