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Hoffenheim vs. Mainz tip, prognosis & odds 03/21/2021 - Bundesliga Free fixed tips

 

 

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Hoffenheim - Mainz tip, prognosis and odds - Bundesliga

Nine game days before the end of the season, FSV Mainz 05 still has a direct relegation place in the Bundesliga table. The Rheinhessen are still a long way from the window. The red-whites have only lost one of their last six league games and are only one point behind on rank 14. Already with a draw in Hoffenheim they could theoretically climb to a non-relegation place.

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However, in the run-up to the match between Hoffenheim and Mainz, the bookmakers' odds clearly point towards TSG, as the odds comparison of the betting base shows.

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It can be stated that the FSV already achieved a groundbreaking away win in the Prezero Arena last season when it was 5: 1 for the red-whites in the end. In general, TSG lies with the Rheinhessen. Of all current Bundesliga clubs, Mainz only scored more goals against Freiburg (46) than against Hoffenheim (43).

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Accordingly, we see a lot of potential in placing the tip on the away win of the zero fives at Hoffenheim against Mainz, who ultimately are by no means visiting a stable team. The Sinsheimer won only two of their last nine competitive games. Incidentally, betting base deals exclusively with the question of which role Mainz still plays in the Bundesliga relegation battle in the linked article.

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Hoffenheim - statistics & current form

TSG Hoffenheim is in a very complicated season, which has been affected again and again, especially by the personnel situation. Hardly any other Bundesliga club had so many failures to cope with just because of positive COVID-19 tests as the Sinsheim team, who now have to compensate for five injured players again.

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With the exception of the first two game days, after which, as a result of the brilliant 4-1 victory over Bayern, Konstanz was even leading the table for a week, there was only the Europa League. There, however, only in the very strong preliminary round. In the second round, TSG finally failed to underdog Molde FK.

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After four league games in a row without defeat, the last time was a 2-0 defeat in Stuttgart

For a short time it looked as if the kicker from the Kraichgau could concentrate fully on the league again after the international departure. Sebastian Hoeneß's team remained undefeated in the Bundesliga for four games and even won against formally strong VfL Wolfsburg 2-1.

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Then, however, the Baden-Württemberg team caught a 2-0 defeat in the derby at VfB Stuttgart last Sunday and once again stepped on the spot. 30 points are currently only enough for eleventh place.

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Lost eleven of the 25 league games

The fact that the team from Sinsheim will most likely not be represented internationally again in the 2021/22 season is also due to the fact that eleven of the 25 league games were lost.

It is all the more surprising that the betting providers see TSG as favorites against the formally strong Rheinhessen. The bookmaker Interwetten, which was tested by Wettbasis, has odds of 1.95 for the home win of the Hoeneß-Elf at Hoffenheim against Mainz, which has often failed to score points, especially because of the 43 goals conceded.

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Expected formation of Hoffenheim:

Baumann - John - Kaderabek - Richards - Vogt - Posch - Samassekou - Grillitsch - Rudy - Kramaric - Bebou

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Mainz - statistics & current form

Like FC Schalke 04, FSV Mainz 05 played a historically bad first half of the season. In the end, only seven out of 51 possible points were on record with the red-whites, who were therefore very much at risk of having to go back to the second division after the twelfth consecutive year on the top floor of German football.

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After it looked very dark, especially in winter, those responsible even readjusted a second time on the coaching bench. Beierlorzer's successor Lichte had to leave and Bo Svensson took over.

Only one defeat in the last six league games

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A coach change that paid off. Under the 41-year-old, the Rheinhessen won 15 points in twelve league games and were able to almost completely close the large gap to the saving bank. The red-whites are already equal on points with the relegation place. If they succeed in a three in Kraichgau, they could even jump to 14th place.

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All the more motivated the zero five should go to work, which were recently difficult to defeat. The FSV has only lost one of the last six league games. Conversely, four of their only five league games won are among the last eight games.

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Just one goal from the last three league games

Momentum that now has to be transported to the Kraichgau, where the mentioned 5-1 away win was celebrated last season. Admittedly, there is still a lack of penetrating power here and there. At least defensively, Bo Svensson brought the red and whites an unusual new stability.

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The FSV only had to accept one goal in the last three league games, which is why we see potential in placing the tip on the surprise victory of Rheinhessen at Hoffenheim against Mainz. Last, but not least, the new trainer also has a good hand. Four of the last five Mainz goals were scored by Jokers

Expected formation of Mainz:

Hundreds - Niakhaté - Bell - St. Juste - Mwene - da Costa - Kohr - Barreiro - Boetius - Quaison - Szalai

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TSG - FSV Direct Comparison / H2H

Head to head: 8 - 8 - 9

There are a total of 25 clashes between the two teams and, interestingly, with nine wins, the Rheinhessen lead the direct comparison. In the first leg, the two teams drew 1-1. In return, the zero-fifth won the last away game to date in Sinsheim on November 24, 2019 with a brilliant 5: 1.

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Betting base forecast & Germany Hoffenheim - Mainz Germany tip

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At Hoffenheim against Mainz, our forecast is influenced by the upswing of the red-whites. Mainz has got a significantly different face under Bo Svensson and is only potentially one point away from leaving the relegation zone.

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With a correspondingly broad chest, the Rheinhessen travel to an opponent who lost the derby with Stuttgart 2-0 after four games in a row last weekend.

Of course, we also see TSG as favorites here.

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Nevertheless, this game offers practically everything that is needed for a profitable outsider bet with a sufficiently high probability of occurrence. Accordingly, we risk the bet on the second away win of the zero five in the Prezero Arena in a row.

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For tip 2, odds of 4.10 are available at Hoffenheim against Mainz, which we play with three units at the bookmaker Sportingbet, which was tested by Wettbasis.

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