France vs. Bulgaria: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 06/08/2021 - friendly match
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France vs. Bulgaria: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 06/08/2021 - friendly match
Who is the top favorite at Euro 2020? Not only the betting odds of the bookmakers, but also a look at the quality of the squad allows only one answer. World champion France wants to underpin the supremacy on their own continent and secure the title.
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In any case, coach Didier Deschamps' team is not lacking in self-confidence. A successful dress rehearsal on Tuesday should give the last momentum before the opening match against the German national team in a week. Opponents at the Stade de France are Bulgaria.
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The Lions go into the game as a blatant outsider with the best bookmakers and were only able to win two of their last 26 international matches. However, the last results were very close and the guests might be able to keep the game more open, so some people think.
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It is not uncommon for test matches to score few goals, which is why a tip below 2.5 goals between France and Bulgaria is very interesting. The match will kick off on Tuesday evening shortly after 9:00 p.m. 5000 spectators are allowed in the French capital and will support their team.
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France - statistics & current form
A recent interview by Kingsley Coman made it clear how broad the French are. The FC Bayern winger found that he and his teammates have the best attack, the best midfield and the best defense in all of Europe and that the title can therefore only go through the Equipe Tricolore. When looking at the individual players in the squad, this can hardly be contradicted.
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Stable defense should also be the cornerstone of success at the EM
In attack alone, Deschamps is spoiled for choice with Olivier Giroud, Antoine Griezmann, Kylian Mbappe, Kingsley Coman or Karim Benzema. Despite these big names, there was a bit of a hitch in the game towards the front. In the three World Cup qualifying games at the end of March, only four of their own goals were scored.
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A disappointing 1: 1 against Ukraine was followed by narrow wins against Kazakhstan (2: 0) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (1: 0). The 3-0 win against Wales in the first friendly last week shouldn't be overrated either. The dragons were sent off after 26 minutes and had to act outnumbered for over an hour. The clear success was therefore only logical.
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What experiments does Deschamps dare to do on Tuesday?
In addition, it must be doubted that the players on the lawn will take the last risk on Tuesday. Nobody wants to risk an injury shortly before the start of the European Championship and it is more about rehearsing the last automatisms under competition conditions. Of course, a tip on the home side between France and Bulgaria is very likely to be successful.
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In relation to the low odds on the part of the hosts, however, it does not seem to be worthwhile to bet on them. It is rather interesting that six of the last nine international matches of the world champions ended with under 2.5 goals. This selection is therefore also much more lucrative on Tuesday.
Expected formation of France:
Lloris - Pavard, Varane, Kimpembe, Hernandez - Tolisso, Pogba, Rabiot - Griezmann, Benzema, Mbappé
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Bulgaria - statistics & current form
Bulgaria has not participated in a major tournament for a long time. This does not seem to be foreseeable in the near future either. The national team is currently lacking international stars and coach Yasen Petrov has to fall back on many players from the domestic league. In the Nations League, the team failed as the bottom of the group and was relegated to League C.
There is a lack of quality on the offensive
Even in the World Cup qualification for the tournament in Qatar next year, the situation is almost hopeless after three games. In addition to two bankruptcies against Switzerland and Italy, there is only one point win due to the 0-0 win against Northern Ireland. Under these circumstances, the test match for World Cup participants Slovakia at the beginning of June was a real success. The Lions defied their opponents in a 1-1 draw.
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In Russia, too, the defensive was again very stable a few days later. Only because of a lack of concentration shortly before the end of the game, the encounter in Moscow was just lost 1-0. A single own shot at the opponent's housing makes the problem of the Petrov protégés very clear. In the 4-4-2 system there is a lack of offensive power and the game against world champions France should also be used to make a courageous appearance without pressure.
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The guests have nothing to lose and the underdog can almost only win on Tuesday in Paris. It is true that the forecast between France and Bulgaria is very unlikely that the guests will achieve their first success since November last year. However, the outsider may sell himself more expensively than many think.
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Expected formation of Bulgaria:
Karadzhov - Hristov, Antov, Hristov, Karageren - Malinov, Chochev, Tsvetanov, Despodov - Yankov, Galabinov
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Direct comparison / H2H
If you will, the direct comparison between France and Bulgaria is a small argument in favor of a forecast in the direction of the guests. With 5: 4 victories, France only leads the overall balance by a very thin margin. However, it must be said that almost all of the encounters took place before the turn of the millennium and are therefore far in the past.
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The only two comparisons from the last few years come from the World Cup qualification in 2016 and 2017. There the French prevail twice. At home there was a 4-1 victory to celebrate and Blaise Matuidi was the big match winner with an early goal at 1-0 in Sofia. The last victory of the Lions dates back to 1993 and 28 years later this scenario is unlikely to repeat itself.
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Betting base forecast & France France - Bulgaria Bulgaria tip
Of course, world champions France are the clear favorites in the home game on Tuesday against number 71 in the FIFA world rankings. However, it should not be forgotten during the game in Paris that the European Championship is coming up for the Equipe Tricolore and the home side no longer want to take any risk of injury.
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The guests, on the other hand, will of course be highly motivated at the reigning world champion and are eager for a respectable success. Coach Petrov's team has impressed defensively in the recent past and was able to keep almost all encounters open for a long time.
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Added to this is the fact that the French last held zero three times in a row and usually only needed a few actions at the front to win their games.
Another unspectacular job win, the favorite (1-0 or 2-0) is the most likely outcome and since the odds for a tip on the home win are very low between France and Bulgaria, a bet on under 2.5 goals is a good idea. The value is clearly visible and a stake of five units on this selection is appropriate.
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