Benfica Lisbon vs. Arsenal Tip, Prediction & Odds - Europa League 2021 02/18/2021 Free fixed tips
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Benfica Lisbon vs. Arsenal tip, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2021
Special times require special measures. True to this motto, neither the Portuguese nor the English will be able to count on a home advantage in one of the most famous sixteenth-final pairings between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal FC. The first leg next Thursday will take place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome; the second leg a week later will take place in Piraeus, Greece.
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For the first encounter between Benfica and Arsenal, the odds of a success for the English top team are surprisingly high in our eyes. Even if the Gunners are certainly not in a comfortable situation at the national level at the moment, the Londoners at least knew how to convince in the Europa League group stage. The Arteta-Elf was able to make all six games victorious.
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Benfica Lisbon also remained unbeaten in a group that should not be underestimated, but only celebrated three wins and just as often had to be content with a draw. In addition, things are not going according to plan in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. With just one win from the last six league games, the form is anything but good.
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Against this background, we dare to predict between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal that a tip on the English, who are only listed on paper as the away team, has a much more attractive value. All quotations for this and other games can be found in our betting base odds comparison.
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Benfica Lisbon - stats & current form
Reigning Portuguese runners-up Benfica Lisbon has had a disappointing season so far. Even before the official start of the Primeira Liga, the Os Encarnados had to unexpectedly give up in the third round of the Champions League qualification against PAOK Saloniki. In the league, too, there has recently been setback after setback.
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The team of coach Jorge Jesus won only one of the last six league matches and fell back to fourth place after the 1-1 draw at Moreirense at the weekend. The move towards the championship has long since departed with a current 13 point deficit on the front runners and city rivals Sporting Lisbon. Perhaps the greater the probability that the priorities will be shifted towards Europe.
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Benfica in six group games with nine goals conceded
In the Europa League, the Àguias had to give up again and again in the preliminary round. Ultimately, three wins and three draws were enough for second place behind the Glasgow Rangers. Nevertheless, the nine conceded goals against teams like Lech Posen or Standard Liège should definitely give food for thought, especially since the offensive in the season so far has mostly fallen short of their own expectations. In October, the Benfica attack around national player Luca Waldschmidt scored three or more goals in the domestic league for the last time.
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Confidence is cracked after the weak results in the recent past, the home advantage only exists on paper and the very wild style of play from the group stage also provides arguments that we prefer the odds on a success for the Londoners between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal. It is also of little advantage that Gilberto and Almeida, the two regular right-backs, are injured. Most recently, Diogo Goncalves, a trained midfielder, had to take the vacant place in the back four.
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Expected formation of Benfica Lisbon:
Vlachodimos - Grimaldo, Vertonghen, Otamendi, Goncalves - Everton, Weigl, Pizzi, Rafa - Nunez, Seferovic
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Arsenal - stats & current form
Similar to Benfica Lisbon, Arsenal FC cannot be satisfied with the season so far at national level. Started with great ambitions, the Gunners are currently only tenth in the Premier League table. Because the gap to the European Cup places is already eight points, even participation in the international business 2021/22 has moved a long way off. In both cup competitions, the Londoners also fell out.
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As a result, there is actually only one real chance of being represented in Europe in the coming season: namely if the Arteta-Elf wins the Europa League. Before the game between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal, the betting odds of the best bookmakers show the English first division club as one of the top favorites for the title, even though the opening hurdle on the next two Thursdays is already a tough one.
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Arsenal dominated the group stage
Hope for a deep run in the Europa League makes at least the good impression that Arsenal made in the group stage. There were six wins in six matches and an outstanding 20 goals. Only in the 2-1 win against Rapid Vienna on the first day of the match was the victory advantage with "only” one goal difference.
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On a positive note, the Gunners have not lost any of their last nine European away games (seven wins, two draws) and were able to regain their confidence with a 4-2 win over Leeds United at the weekend. After all, it was the sixth threesome from the last ten Premier League games. A slight upward trend cannot be ignored among Coach Arteta's protégés.
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For Partey and Tierney, a mission on Thursday evening could come too early. Otherwise, all actors are probably ready for action. The Spanish coach will not experiment either. The further course of the Europa League season is too important for the club's short and medium-term future.
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Expected formation of Arsenal:
Ryan - Soares, David Luiz, Holding, Bellerin - Xhaka, Ceballos - Aubameyang, Odegaard, Pepe - Lacazette
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Direct comparison / H2H
The only two competitive games of these two clubs were in the second round of the 1991/92 Champions League season. Because the first and second leg ended 1-1, the second leg in the old Highbury went into extra time, in which the Portuguese surprisingly got the upper hand with 3-1. The most recent direct duel was a friendly game in 2017, which the Gunners won 5-2.
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Betting base forecast & Portugal Benfica Lisbon - Arsenal tip
The fact that the first leg in the Europa League intermediate round between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal will take place in the Stadio Olimpico in Rome is more likely to play into the hands of the English. No wonder, because the Portuguese top club has never lost a match in their own stadium in this competition! In the Italian capital, however, the Àguias lost two of the last three attempts.
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In any case, there is a real board waiting with the Gunners. The Londoners marched through the group stage with the maximum yield of 18 points, scored 20 goals, more than three on average per game, and celebrated five of the six successes with at least two hits difference. In addition, there is the important fact that the Arteta-Elf takes the Europa League very seriously in order to escape the dreary everyday league and to preserve the chances of the Champions League 2021/22.
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The same applies to the Os Encarnados, but we see the qualitative advantages as well as the trump card of the currently better form among the gunners. Benfica won only one of the last six encounters in the weaker Primeira Liga, while the form curve at Aubameyang and Co. is steeper with six three-pointers from the last ten league games.
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Against this background and the lack of home advantage, we try between Benfica Lisbon and Arsenal with the tip on the success of the Gunners. At the tested bookmaker Unibet, we get an extremely lucrative 2.42 at the top, which is worth a stake of five units. You can find further analyzes and recommendations for the 16 games on Thursday in the Europa League Tips section.
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